Warrior Ancient and Medieval Rules

[joncleaves]

I have the prob of a flank march (or two) entering the table out to 20 bounds in
my notes. Thanks for the help, but we got this one.

Jon

[Ed Forbes]

Hi Scott,

Yes, each individual dice roll is discrete, but the situation stated was
not a discrete situation. In computing the odds of a 5 or a 6 coming up
in any one of 3 rolls ( that the out flank arrives in any one of 3 rounds
) there is no difference in computing the odds for rolling 1 die 3 times
or 3 dice one time ( other than funny dice ) and looking for any single
5 or 6 to appear. The odds for any 5 or 6 coming up in 3 rolls of the
dice taken in total is much higher than a 5 or 6 coming up in only one
roll of the dice. In computing the odds for a serial outcome ( any 5 or
6 appearing on any of the 3 rolls ), the odds are cumulative.

I have had beginning statistic students make this claim of non
cumulative odds for die rolls, but all knew enough from practical
experience not to bet money at even odds on a dice game with them rolling
one die and me rolling 3 dice ( or me making 3 individual rolls to their
one ), all looking for a single 6.

Ed




> Any statistician (my wife included) will tell you that dice rolling
> probabilities are not cumulative. The odds are independent on each
> throw of
> the die.
>
> Scott
> List Ho
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[Ed Forbes]

I did not say that you did not have it Jon.

My post was a reply to Scott over his 1/3 chance per game of an out flank
arriving.

enough said on this

Ed

On Thu, 26 Apr 2001 13:30:33 EDT JonCleaves@... writes:
> I have the prob of a flank march (or two) entering the table out to
> 20 bounds in my notes. Thanks for the help, but we got this one.
>
> Jon
>
> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
> WarriorRules-unsubscribe@egroups.com
>
>
>
> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to
> http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
>
>